Sports leaderboard snapshot · #8
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Summed from Polymarket closed positions by week (UTC). Hover a point for exact realized PNL for that week.
Inferred from trade activity (titles & slugs). Percent of total trade notional.
| Market | Outcome | Price | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | BUY | $5k | 93¢ | Jun 3, 2026, 9:39 PM | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | BUY | $2k | 93¢ | Jun 3, 2026, 9:39 PM | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | BUY | $13k | 93¢ | Jun 3, 2026, 9:39 PM | |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California … | No | BUY | $7k | 82¢ | Jun 3, 2026, 4:23 PM | |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California … | No | BUY | $413 | 82¢ | Jun 3, 2026, 4:22 PM | |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California … | No | BUY | $413 | 82¢ | Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM | |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California … | No | BUY | $286 | 81¢ | Jun 3, 2026, 4:18 PM | |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-elec… | No | BUY | $402 | 31¢ | May 25, 2026, 5:28 PM | |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of t… | Yes | BUY | $849 | 46¢ | May 25, 2026, 5:21 PM | |
| Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-elec… | No | BUY | $49 | 98¢ | May 24, 2026, 5:09 PM |
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Modeled like the simulator: payout = bet ÷ price, profit = payout − bet, EV = win rate × profit − (1 − win rate) × bet. Price uses recent trade average when available.