Sports leaderboard snapshot · #18
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Summed from Polymarket closed positions by week (UTC). Hover a point for exact realized PNL for that week.
Inferred from trade activity (titles & slugs). Percent of total trade notional.
| Market | Outcome | Price | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $0 | 1¢ | Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 AM | |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $0 | 1¢ | Jun 12, 2026, 1:44 AM | |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $0 | 0¢ | Jun 12, 2026, 1:42 AM | |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $0 | 0¢ | Jun 12, 2026, 1:34 AM | |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $0 | 0¢ | Jun 12, 2026, 1:33 AM | |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $4 | 1¢ | Jun 12, 2026, 1:27 AM | |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $0 | 0¢ | Jun 12, 2026, 1:27 AM | |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $0 | 0¢ | Jun 12, 2026, 1:24 AM | |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $1 | 0¢ | Jun 12, 2026, 1:24 AM | |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $0 | 1¢ | Jun 12, 2026, 1:22 AM |
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Modeled like the simulator: payout = bet ÷ price, profit = payout − bet, EV = win rate × profit − (1 − win rate) × bet. Price uses recent trade average when available.