Sports leaderboard snapshot · #70
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AI summary of public trade data. Not betting advice.
Summed from Polymarket closed positions by week (UTC). Hover a point for exact realized PNL for that week.
Inferred from trade activity (titles & slugs). Percent of total trade notional.
| Market | Outcome | Price | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | No | BUY | $4.0k | 50¢ | Jul 1, 2026, 7:36 PM | |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | No | BUY | $4.3k | 45¢ | Jun 27, 2026, 7:36 PM | |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | No | BUY | $6.6k | 38¢ | Jun 21, 2026, 11:30 PM | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | No | BUY | $5.1k | 32¢ | Jun 20, 2026, 6:24 PM | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | No | BUY | $0 | 32¢ | Jun 20, 2026, 6:24 PM | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | No | BUY | $47 | 32¢ | Jun 20, 2026, 6:24 PM | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | No | BUY | $126 | 32¢ | Jun 20, 2026, 6:24 PM | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | No | BUY | $10 | 32¢ | Jun 20, 2026, 6:24 PM | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | No | BUY | $2 | 32¢ | Jun 20, 2026, 6:24 PM | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | No | BUY | $71 | 32¢ | Jun 20, 2026, 6:24 PM |
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Modeled like the simulator: payout = bet ÷ price, profit = payout − bet, EV = win rate × profit − (1 − win rate) × bet. Price uses recent trade average when available.