Sports leaderboard snapshot · #32
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Summed from Polymarket closed positions by week (UTC). Hover a point for exact realized PNL for that week.
Inferred from trade activity (titles & slugs). Percent of total trade notional.
| Market | Outcome | Price | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | SELL | $360 | 73¢ | May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM | |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | SELL | $108 | 38¢ | Feb 24, 2026, 5:39 AM | |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | SELL | $133 | 31¢ | Feb 24, 2026, 5:15 AM | |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor … | Yes | SELL | $74 | 27¢ | Feb 24, 2026, 2:18 AM | |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor … | Yes | SELL | $72 | 30¢ | Feb 22, 2026, 10:23 PM | |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematogr… | No | BUY | $69 | 34¢ | Feb 22, 2026, 7:21 PM | |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematogr… | No | BUY | $108 | 38¢ | Feb 22, 2026, 7:08 PM | |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor … | Yes | SELL | $177 | 35¢ | Feb 22, 2026, 7:03 PM | |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematogr… | No | BUY | $119 | 40¢ | Feb 22, 2026, 6:54 PM | |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor … | Yes | BUY | $305 | 61¢ | Feb 22, 2026, 5:50 PM |
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Modeled like the simulator: payout = bet ÷ price, profit = payout − bet, EV = win rate × profit − (1 − win rate) × bet. Price uses recent trade average when available.