Sports leaderboard snapshot · #77
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Summed from Polymarket closed positions by week (UTC). Hover a point for exact realized PNL for that week.
Inferred from trade activity (titles & slugs). Percent of total trade notional.
| Market | Outcome | Price | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | No | BUY | $6 | 59¢ | Jul 13, 2026, 12:26 AM | |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | No | BUY | $7 | 59¢ | Jul 13, 2026, 12:25 AM | |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | No | BUY | $7 | 59¢ | Jul 13, 2026, 12:24 AM | |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | No | BUY | $116 | 59¢ | Jul 13, 2026, 12:24 AM | |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | No | BUY | $26 | 59¢ | Jul 13, 2026, 12:20 AM | |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | Yes | BUY | $14 | 29¢ | Jul 12, 2026, 8:40 PM | |
| Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 | Over | BUY | $895 | 44¢ | Jul 12, 2026, 1:52 PM | |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | No | BUY | $1k | 71¢ | Jul 12, 2026, 12:54 AM | |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | No | BUY | $1k | 71¢ | Jul 12, 2026, 12:54 AM | |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | No | BUY | $754 | 71¢ | Jul 12, 2026, 12:54 AM |
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Modeled like the simulator: payout = bet ÷ price, profit = payout − bet, EV = win rate × profit − (1 − win rate) × bet. Price uses recent trade average when available.