Sports leaderboard snapshot · #5
0x6e02...bfce
Summed from Polymarket closed positions by week (UTC). Hover a point for exact realized PNL for that week.
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Inferred from trade activity (titles & slugs). Percent of total trade notional.
| Market | Outcome | Price | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | BUY | $11k | 11¢ | May 29, 2026, 6:48 PM | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | BUY | $3k | 12¢ | May 29, 2026, 6:48 PM | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | BUY | $917 | 12¢ | May 29, 2026, 6:48 PM | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | BUY | $8k | 12¢ | May 29, 2026, 6:48 PM | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | BUY | $10k | 12¢ | May 29, 2026, 6:48 PM | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | BUY | $3 | 12¢ | May 29, 2026, 6:20 PM | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | BUY | $1 | 12¢ | May 29, 2026, 6:20 PM | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | BUY | $1 | 12¢ | May 29, 2026, 6:20 PM | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | BUY | $1 | 12¢ | May 29, 2026, 6:20 PM | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | BUY | $1 | 12¢ | May 29, 2026, 6:20 PM |
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Modeled like the simulator: payout = bet ÷ price, profit = payout − bet, EV = win rate × profit − (1 − win rate) × bet. Price uses recent trade average when available.