Sports leaderboard snapshot · #83
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Summed from Polymarket closed positions by week (UTC). Hover a point for exact realized PNL for that week.
Inferred from trade activity (titles & slugs). Percent of total trade notional.
| Market | Outcome | Price | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $4k | 13¢ | Jul 15, 2026, 8:30 PM | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $1k | 13¢ | Jul 15, 2026, 8:30 PM | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $1k | 13¢ | Jul 15, 2026, 8:29 PM | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $587 | 13¢ | Jul 15, 2026, 8:29 PM | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $104 | 12¢ | Jul 15, 2026, 8:29 PM | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $1k | 13¢ | Jul 15, 2026, 8:29 PM | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $2k | 14¢ | Jul 15, 2026, 8:28 PM | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $695 | 14¢ | Jul 15, 2026, 8:27 PM | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $2k | 14¢ | Jul 15, 2026, 8:27 PM | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $1k | 13¢ | Jul 15, 2026, 8:27 PM |
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Modeled like the simulator: payout = bet ÷ price, profit = payout − bet, EV = win rate × profit − (1 − win rate) × bet. Price uses recent trade average when available.