Sports leaderboard snapshot · #76
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AI summary of public trade data. Not betting advice.
Summed from Polymarket closed positions by week (UTC). Hover a point for exact realized PNL for that week.
Inferred from trade activity (titles & slugs). Percent of total trade notional.
| Market | Outcome | Price | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $956.8k | 100¢ | Jul 20, 2026, 12:16 AM | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $444.2k | 100¢ | Jul 20, 2026, 12:16 AM | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $300.2k | 58¢ | Jul 19, 2026, 6:42 PM | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $152 | 59¢ | Jul 19, 2026, 6:29 PM | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $46 | 59¢ | Jul 19, 2026, 6:29 PM | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $59 | 59¢ | Jul 19, 2026, 6:29 PM | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $127 | 59¢ | Jul 19, 2026, 6:29 PM | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $1.9k | 59¢ | Jul 19, 2026, 6:29 PM | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $100 | 59¢ | Jul 19, 2026, 6:29 PM | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $43 | 59¢ | Jul 19, 2026, 6:29 PM |
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Modeled like the simulator: payout = bet ÷ price, profit = payout − bet, EV = win rate × profit − (1 − win rate) × bet. Price uses recent trade average when available.